Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 1. Year 2000 crop production losses and economic damage
Identifieur interne : 000059 ( PascalFrancis/Corpus ); précédent : 000058; suivant : 000060Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 1. Year 2000 crop production losses and economic damage
Auteurs : Shiri Avnery ; Denise L. Mauzerall ; JUNFENG LIY ; Larry W. HorowitzSource :
- Atmospheric environment : (1994) [ 1352-2310 ] ; 2011.
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- Pascal (Inist)
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
Abstract
Exposure to elevated concentrations of surface ozone (O3) causes substantial reductions in the agricultural yields of many crops. As emissions of O3 precursors rise in many parts of the world over the next few decades, yield reductions from O3 exposure appear likely to increase the challenges of feeding a global population projected to grow from 6 to 9 billion between 2000 and 2050. This study estimates year 2000 global yield reductions of three key staple crops (soybean, maize, and wheat) due to surface ozone exposure using hourly O3 concentrations simulated by the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers version 2.4 (MOZART-2). We calculate crop losses according to two metrics of ozone exposure -seasonal daytime (08:00-19:59) mean O3 (M12) and accumulated O3 above a threshold of 40 ppbv (AOT40) - and predict crop yield losses using crop-specific O3 concentration:response functions established by field studies. Our results indicate that year 2000 O3-induced global yield reductions ranged, depending on the metric used, from 8.5-14% for soybean, 3.9-15% for wheat, and 2.2-5.5% for maize. Global crop production losses totaled 79-121 million metric tons, worth $11-18 billion annually (USD2000). Our calculated yield reductions agree well with previous estimates, providing further evidence that yields of major crops across the globe are already being substantially reduced by exposure to surface ozone - a risk that will grow unless 03-precursor emissions are curbed in the future or crop cultivars are developed and utilized that are resistant to O3.
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Format Inist (serveur)
NO : | PASCAL 11-0255958 INIST |
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ET : | Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 1. Year 2000 crop production losses and economic damage |
AU : | AVNERY (Shiri); MAUZERALL (Denise L.); JUNFENG LIY; HOROWITZ (Larry W.) |
AF : | Program in Science, Technology, and Environmental Policy, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, 414 Robertson Hall, Princeton University/Princeton, NJ 08544/Etats-Unis (1 aut.); Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 445 Robertson Hall, Princeton University/Princeton, NJ 08544/Etats-Unis (2 aut.); NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, 201 Forrestal Road, Princeton University/Princeton, NJ 08540/Etats-Unis (3 aut., 4 aut.) |
DT : | Publication en série; Niveau analytique |
SO : | Atmospheric environment : (1994); ISSN 1352-2310; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2011; Vol. 45; No. 13; Pp. 2284-2296; Bibl. 1 p.1/4 |
LA : | Anglais |
EA : | Exposure to elevated concentrations of surface ozone (O3) causes substantial reductions in the agricultural yields of many crops. As emissions of O3 precursors rise in many parts of the world over the next few decades, yield reductions from O3 exposure appear likely to increase the challenges of feeding a global population projected to grow from 6 to 9 billion between 2000 and 2050. This study estimates year 2000 global yield reductions of three key staple crops (soybean, maize, and wheat) due to surface ozone exposure using hourly O3 concentrations simulated by the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers version 2.4 (MOZART-2). We calculate crop losses according to two metrics of ozone exposure -seasonal daytime (08:00-19:59) mean O3 (M12) and accumulated O3 above a threshold of 40 ppbv (AOT40) - and predict crop yield losses using crop-specific O3 concentration:response functions established by field studies. Our results indicate that year 2000 O3-induced global yield reductions ranged, depending on the metric used, from 8.5-14% for soybean, 3.9-15% for wheat, and 2.2-5.5% for maize. Global crop production losses totaled 79-121 million metric tons, worth $11-18 billion annually (USD2000). Our calculated yield reductions agree well with previous estimates, providing further evidence that yields of major crops across the globe are already being substantially reduced by exposure to surface ozone - a risk that will grow unless 03-precursor emissions are curbed in the future or crop cultivars are developed and utilized that are resistant to O3. |
CC : | 001D16C |
FD : | Ozone; Précurseur; Modélisation; Traceur; Fonction réponse; Agriculture |
ED : | Ozone; Precursor; Modeling; Tracers; Response function; Agriculture |
SD : | Ozono; Precursor; Modelización; Trazador; Función respuesta; Agricultura |
LO : | INIST-8940B.354000192901550140 |
ID : | 11-0255958 |
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Pascal:11-0255958Le document en format XML
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Exposure to elevated concentrations of surface ozone (O<sub>3</sub>
) causes substantial reductions in the agricultural yields of many crops. As emissions of O<sub>3</sub>
precursors rise in many parts of the world over the next few decades, yield reductions from O<sub>3</sub>
exposure appear likely to increase the challenges of feeding a global population projected to grow from 6 to 9 billion between 2000 and 2050. This study estimates year 2000 global yield reductions of three key staple crops (soybean, maize, and wheat) due to surface ozone exposure using hourly O<sub>3</sub>
concentrations simulated by the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers version 2.4 (MOZART-2). We calculate crop losses according to two metrics of ozone exposure -seasonal daytime (08:00-19:59) mean O<sub>3</sub>
(M12) and accumulated O<sub>3</sub>
above a threshold of 40 ppbv (AOT40) - and predict crop yield losses using crop-specific O<sub>3</sub>
concentration:response functions established by field studies. Our results indicate that year 2000 O<sub>3</sub>
-induced global yield reductions ranged, depending on the metric used, from 8.5-14% for soybean, 3.9-15% for wheat, and 2.2-5.5% for maize. Global crop production losses totaled 79-121 million metric tons, worth $11-18 billion annually (USD<sub>2000</sub>
). Our calculated yield reductions agree well with previous estimates, providing further evidence that yields of major crops across the globe are already being substantially reduced by exposure to surface ozone - a risk that will grow unless 0<sub>3</sub>
-precursor emissions are curbed in the future or crop cultivars are developed and utilized that are resistant to O<sub>3</sub>
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exposure appear likely to increase the challenges of feeding a global population projected to grow from 6 to 9 billion between 2000 and 2050. This study estimates year 2000 global yield reductions of three key staple crops (soybean, maize, and wheat) due to surface ozone exposure using hourly O<sub>3</sub>
concentrations simulated by the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers version 2.4 (MOZART-2). We calculate crop losses according to two metrics of ozone exposure -seasonal daytime (08:00-19:59) mean O<sub>3</sub>
(M12) and accumulated O<sub>3</sub>
above a threshold of 40 ppbv (AOT40) - and predict crop yield losses using crop-specific O<sub>3</sub>
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<server><NO>PASCAL 11-0255958 INIST</NO>
<ET>Global crop yield reductions due to surface ozone exposure: 1. Year 2000 crop production losses and economic damage</ET>
<AU>AVNERY (Shiri); MAUZERALL (Denise L.); JUNFENG LIY; HOROWITZ (Larry W.)</AU>
<AF>Program in Science, Technology, and Environmental Policy, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, 414 Robertson Hall, Princeton University/Princeton, NJ 08544/Etats-Unis (1 aut.); Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 445 Robertson Hall, Princeton University/Princeton, NJ 08544/Etats-Unis (2 aut.); NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, 201 Forrestal Road, Princeton University/Princeton, NJ 08540/Etats-Unis (3 aut., 4 aut.)</AF>
<DT>Publication en série; Niveau analytique</DT>
<SO>Atmospheric environment : (1994); ISSN 1352-2310; Royaume-Uni; Da. 2011; Vol. 45; No. 13; Pp. 2284-2296; Bibl. 1 p.1/4</SO>
<LA>Anglais</LA>
<EA>Exposure to elevated concentrations of surface ozone (O<sub>3</sub>
) causes substantial reductions in the agricultural yields of many crops. As emissions of O<sub>3</sub>
precursors rise in many parts of the world over the next few decades, yield reductions from O<sub>3</sub>
exposure appear likely to increase the challenges of feeding a global population projected to grow from 6 to 9 billion between 2000 and 2050. This study estimates year 2000 global yield reductions of three key staple crops (soybean, maize, and wheat) due to surface ozone exposure using hourly O<sub>3</sub>
concentrations simulated by the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers version 2.4 (MOZART-2). We calculate crop losses according to two metrics of ozone exposure -seasonal daytime (08:00-19:59) mean O<sub>3</sub>
(M12) and accumulated O<sub>3</sub>
above a threshold of 40 ppbv (AOT40) - and predict crop yield losses using crop-specific O<sub>3</sub>
concentration:response functions established by field studies. Our results indicate that year 2000 O<sub>3</sub>
-induced global yield reductions ranged, depending on the metric used, from 8.5-14% for soybean, 3.9-15% for wheat, and 2.2-5.5% for maize. Global crop production losses totaled 79-121 million metric tons, worth $11-18 billion annually (USD<sub>2000</sub>
). Our calculated yield reductions agree well with previous estimates, providing further evidence that yields of major crops across the globe are already being substantially reduced by exposure to surface ozone - a risk that will grow unless 0<sub>3</sub>
-precursor emissions are curbed in the future or crop cultivars are developed and utilized that are resistant to O<sub>3</sub>
.</EA>
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